8 posts tagged “e”
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24. If the countries of the Third World do not succeed in controlling their population, than the countries having a population control need to create for it selves large autonomous peace zones. Only in such zones will it be possible to carry out environmentally sustainable methods of production and to pay the working population a reasonable wage. And free trade will only be possible between economic regions of corresponding standards.
25. We have to learn planning in longer terms and correspondingly to create a survival ethos spanning generations. For this purpose we have to avoid the trap of short-sightedness, “the trap of competition.”
Irenäus Eibl-Eibesfeldt in Wider die Mistrauensgesellschaft (“Against The Distrust Society”), 1995
The trends charted in this book do not point toward a sudden, cataclysmic global famine. What appears most likely, if current pattern prevail, is chronic depression conditions for the share of humankind, perhaps a fourth, that might be termed economically and politically marginal. Marginal people on marginal lands will slowly sink into the slough of hopeless poverty. Some will continue to wrest from the earth what fruits they can, others will turn up in dead-end urban slums of Africa, Asia, and Latin America. Whether the deterioration of their prospects will be a quiet one is quite another question.
Erik P. Eckholm: Losing Ground, 1976
We are regularly inforemed in all solemnity that the sorts of drastic changes proposed here are economically, politically, and socially impractical or unrealistic. No one has yet devised a plausible scheme, for example, to see that the reductions in throughputs of resources in the rich countries (if they could actually be achieved) are translated into increased availability of resources for rational development in the poor countries. Little real progress has been made on global disarmament by the superpowers, and extensive proliferation of nuclear weapons is widely (if quietly) held to be inevitable. The seriousness of population growth continues to be widely underestimated or misperceived by scholars and government alike. We believe it is past time for the social-science community to devote its full attention to the removal of these sociopolitical obstacles to societal survival, just as the physical-science and engineering communities must devote theirs to the transformation of technology. For the alternative of proceeding along the present course is not only even less practical economically, politically, and socially than the demanding changes that are required, it is also impractical physically. The real question, for those concerned about realistic solutions, is whether scholars and decision-makers of all varieties can devise ways to bring human behavior into harmony with physical reality in time.
Paul R. Ehrlich et al: ECOSCIENCE Population, Resources, Environment, 1970
The claim is often made that human beings are rational creatures, that people are capable of planning ahead and regulating their affairs accordingly, and that the world can be shaped to satisfy all human desires. But the evidence calls thee beliefs into question. Population explosions and associated overshoots of the carrying capacity of the environment have been common throughout human history, and the cancerous growth of the industrial society casts considerable doubt on the notion that the situation has fundamentally changed. What is now needed is a bold new step in social evolution that will put man’s favourable view of himself to the test. To make this step, a preferred and ecologically sound human future must be outlined, and social efforts and expectations must be modified to conform to it. This is not an impossibility, but it will required marshalling the intellectual resources of all societies and the acceptance of some sacrifices on the part of many individuals, especially in the overdeveloped countries.
The alternatives for mankind are now very clear. People can continue to ignore the dangerous consequences of present behaviour and painfully adjust to the inevitable through a series of crises. Or mankind can face up to the challenges and begin now to manage the future of the planet and the ecosphere. There can be no doubt that mankind must eventually come to terms with environmental imperatives; the only question that remains is which path will be taken.
Dennis C Pirages and Paul R Ehrlich: Ark II – Social Response to Environmental Imperatives, 1974
Will anything be lost if it turns out later that we can support a much
larger population than seems possible today? Suppose we move to
stabilize the size of the human population after the "time of famines"
at two billion people, and we achieve that goal by 2050. Suppose that in
2051 someone invents a machine that will produce nutritious food or
anything else that man wants in limitless quantities out of nothing.
Assume also that in 2051 mankind is underpopulated with just two billion
people. Men decide that they want more company. Fortunately, people can
be produced in vast quantities by unskilled labor who enjoy their work.
In about 500 years, with the proper encouragement of reproduction, the
Earth could be populated to a density of about 100 individuals per
square foot of surface (land and sea). That is a density that should
please the loneliest person.
Remember, above all, that more than half of the world is in misery now.
That alone should be enough to galvanize us into action, regardless of
the exact dimensions of the future disaster now staring Homo sapiens in
the face.
Paul R Ehrlich: The Population Bomb, 1968
The time has come to face up to the basic imbalances in our society and, through personal and (to whatever degree possible) political action, begin to loosen the tightest bonds of interdependence. When and if the real crunch comes, you will get precious little help from Washington or your state capital. If you are fortunate enough to live with good friends or relatives as neighbors, you may find assistance and cooperation there. And presumably your family will do what it can to help. But the one person you can depend on with complete assurance is yourself.
Paul H and Anne H Ehrlich: The End of Affluence, 1974
The authors of these (Club of Rome) reports deserve full credit for reaching a large public throughout the world and shaking people out of their lethargy. But even these authors are unable to say what should be done now that will not endanger the stability of the whole system. It would be of great benefit if these reports could make clear to the younger generation
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how important it is to consider these questions objectively and in detail,
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how many exciting problems are waiting to be solved in this area, ..
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how unproductive it is to spout slogans in the political arena and to endanger the stability of the society and of the entire human ecosystem by constantly calling for limitations without knowing how or what to limit to produce the desired results.
Reference is repeatedly made to natural regulation in ecological systems, but these references usually overlook how complex the solutions are even to relatively simple ecological situations, and how undesirable or inhuman their consequences are. If we desired no more than an ecological solution, all we would have to do is let things take their course. The resulting equilibrium, however, would not be acceptable in human terms.
Because the problem of limiting growth involves so many different phenomena, such as population increase, dissipation of energy, investment of capital, productions of goods, and pollution of the environment, no undifferentiated view of this problem can do justice.
If we listed the above items in term of priority, population control would still head the list. It contains the key to all the other problems….
Even if population growth were stopped completely, we would still, as a society, be faced with scarcity. At the present, human society as a whole cannot afford a halt in investment, much less a reduction in energy consumption. Such measures would be possible only if there were a drastic reduction in world population. Present trends make that at purely utopian thought. We will never see paradise again. Even those who dream of a classless society are beginning to understand this. A society of scarcity can, at best, change its class structure. It will have to remain a society oriented to achievement. ..
A democratic state can allow its citizens every freedom – we trust our readers will allow us this exaggeration - except the one that endangers its own existence. Democratic laws have to protect the individual’s freedom and latitude of action, but at the same time they can not allow the spread of organized power.
Manfred Eigen et al: Laws of The Game (Das Spiel – Naturgesetze steuern den Zufall) 1981 Ending of Chapter 13
This book is only a modest attempt to wake up people in general to discuss questions which should be discussed now, in order to have a fair grip of the development of the future. Should our generation in the industrialized countries be passive spectators to the drama which will be staged, when the Earths resources of energy and metals start running out and the overpopulation is disastrous? Or should we already now introduce in the basic education, studies of the human condition on the long view? We should wake up and be realistic. The time for daydreaming is definitively over.
Gösta Ehrenswärd: Före – efter, en diagnose. (Before – After, A Diagnosis) 1971